|
Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics and Science Policy Series)
|
| Price: | £65.00 & eligible for FREE Super Saver Delivery on orders over £5. Details |
Availability: Usually dispatched within 24 hours
Dispatched from and sold by Amazon.co.uk
19 new or used available from £61.10
Average customer review:
Product Description
This is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Cooke considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematical foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models. Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
Product Details
- Amazon Sales Rank: #1088363 in Books
- Published on: 1992-01-30
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Binding: Hardcover
- 336 pages
Customer Reviews
Fine introduction to the field, but beware of the math
The first part is introductory, and contains a lot of easy and real-life examples, and is pleasant and interesting to read. However, part 2 and 3, the 'application parts', brought me to tears with the most incomprehensible mathematics.
