![]() | Talent is Overrated: What Really Separates World-Class Performers from Everybody Else by Geoff Colvin
Buy new: £7.59 / Used from: £6.69 |
![]() | The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Buy new: £5.36 / Used from: £2.00 An understanding of Black Swans is very important to inform our decisions even if they cannot be predicted.
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![]() | Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth and Happiness by Richard H Thaler
Buy new: £5.84 / Used from: £1.99 More about making policy than what the individual should do.
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![]() | Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking by Malcolm Gladwell
Buy new: £5.96 / Used from: £3.70 |
![]() | Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions by Dan Ariely
Buy new: £4.98 / Used from: £3.59 |
![]() | Irrationality by Stuart Sutherland
Buy new: £5.97 / Used from: £3.57 This feels somewhat dated now but provides excellent examples of what have been considered 'bias' in our thinking.
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![]() | The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives by Leonard Mlodinow
Buy new: £5.97 / Used from: £3.82 |
![]() | Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Buy new: £5.28 / Used from: £3.59 Written before 'Black Swan' and is some ways superior.
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![]() | The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference by Malcolm Gladwell
Buy new: £5.99 / Used from: £2.77 |
![]() | The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few by James Surowiecki
Buy new: £5.96 / Used from: £3.50 |
![]() | Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions by G Klein
Buy new: £14.89 / Used from: £14.07 If you want to have an understanding of how experts (such as firemen and soldiers) make real decisions then this is excellent.
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![]() | Supercrunchers: How Anything Can be Predicted by Ian Ayres
Buy used from: £6.00 Important for deciding when multiple linear regression is realistic.
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![]() | Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty by Gerd Gigerenzer
Buy new: £6.36 / Used from: £2.27 I love this book because it claers the statistical fog. Medical and justice issues covered.
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![]() | Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious by Gerd Gigerenzer
Buy used from: £6.61 A layman's introduction to this fascinating subject of heuristics. More academic than Blink.
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![]() | The Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life (Ideas in Context) by Gerd Gigerenzer;Zeno Swijtink;Theodore Porter;Lorraine Daston;John Beatty;Lorenz Kruger
Buy new: £18.83 / Used from: £24.35 Heavy going but academic gold-standard.
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![]() | Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart (Evolution and Cognition Series) by Gerd Gigerenzer
Buy new: £20.89 / Used from: £29.38 Very Smart.
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![]() | Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter L. Bernstein
Buy new: £8.34 / Used from: £5.00 I have read this more than once and enjot it every time.
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![]() | Randomness by DJ Bennett
Buy new: £13.95 / Used from: £9.65 I really liked this although it is more about games than decisions in the real world.
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![]() | Dance with Chance: Making Luck Work for You by Spyros Makridakis
Buy new: £6.96 / Used from: £4.45 Builds on Black Swan and is easier to read!
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![]() | Understanding Probability: Chance Rules in Everyday Life by Henk Tijms
Buy new: £18.00 / Used from: £16.46 Close to a maths text, but readable.
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![]() | The Cult of Statistical Significance: How the Standard Error Costs Us Jobs, Justice, and Lives (Economics, Cognition & Society) by Stephen Thomas Ziliak
Buy new: £15.78 / Used from: £23.09 Made me really think hard about my statistical understanding.
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![]() | Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century by David Salsburg
Buy new: £8.16 / Used from: £6.99 Very American but a great read.
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![]() | Dicing with Death: Chance, Risk and Health by Stephen Senn
Buy new: £15.04 / Used from: £8.20 Medical statistics described by an expert (true sense) statistician.
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![]() | How to Read a Paper: The Basics of Evidence-Based Medicine by Trisha Greenhalgh
Buy new: £18.15 / Used from: £17.22 This is a resource for informing my own medical decisions. Evidence-based medicine (EBM) for real.
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![]() | Lateral Thinking: A Textbook of Creativity by Edward de Bono
Buy new: £6.46 / Used from: £2.36 To make a decision you need to come up with some options.
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